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APP as of Oct 31 · 18:48 ET
APPNasdaqServices-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.

AppLovin Corp · Brief

Next report

4 days

Nov 4 · after closeconfirmedQ3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
4 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±12.1%
avg realized
±17.6%
Nov 6 '24±10.5%▲+46.27%×4.41
Feb 12 '25±14.6%▲+24.02%×1.64
May 7 '25±15.5%▲+11.88%×0.77
Aug 6 '25±12.2%▲+11.97%×0.98
Q3 FY25±9.5%▲+0.70%×0.07
Feb 11 '26±12.3%▼−19.68%×1.60
Q1 FY26±10.2%▲+6.41%×0.63
Q2 FY26±11.9%▼−19.66%×1.65
quarterimplied−50%0+50%realized×
Q2 FY26±11.9%▼−19.66%×1.65
Q1 FY26±10.2%▲+6.41%×0.63
Feb '26±12.3%▼−19.68%×1.60
Q3 FY25±9.5%▲+0.70%×0.07
Aug '25±12.2%▲+11.97%×0.98
May '25±15.5%▲+11.88%×0.77
2 older reports
Feb '25±14.6%▲+24.02%×1.64
Nov '24±10.5%▲+46.27%×4.41
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 4 report · confirmed

Bull2

1,477managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26
+11.59%change in shares held by the ten largest reporting managers over the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

11 of 23of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
4 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options-implied rangeEarnings history
AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

APP report session

Customers 2

METAMeta×0.19GOOGLGoogle×0.12
× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±14.6% into Nov 4 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source
Oct 7report dateEarnings date confirmed: Nov 4, after close.Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.