Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. · Brief

Next report

5 days

Nov 5 · after closeest.Q3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

No implied move.

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.8%
avg realized: ±3.1%

Nov 7 '24±7.2%▲+11.15%×1.55

Feb 20 '25±7.0%▼−1.67%×0.24

May 8 '25±5.7%▲+1.32%×0.23

Aug 7 '25±7.0%▲+0.13%×0.02

Q3 FY25±7.1%▲+5.79%×0.82

Feb 19 '26±6.6%▲+0.86%×0.13

Q1 FY26±5.7%▲+1.28%×0.23

Q2 FY26±8.5%▲+2.20%×0.26

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±8.5%▲+2.20%×0.26

Q1 FY26±5.7%▲+1.28%×0.23

Feb '26±6.6%▲+0.86%×0.13

Q3 FY25±7.1%▲+5.79%×0.82

Aug '25±7.0%▲+0.13%×0.02

May '25±5.7%▲+1.32%×0.23

2 older reports

Feb '25±7.0%▼−1.67%×0.24

Nov '24±7.2%▲+11.15%×1.55

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 5 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

5disclosed supplier and customer ties in SEC filingsSEC filings

4tracked funds holding ALRMN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

Bear2

8 of 24largest reporting managers who cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

7 of 8recent reports where performance came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

ALRM report session

Customers 1

ADTADT×0.37

× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 22impliedImplied move: ±6.9% into Nov 5 earnings (Oct 22 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.