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AES as of Nov 1 · 13:32 ET
AESNYSECogeneration Services & Small Power Producers

AES Corp · Brief

Next report

2 days

Nov 3 · after closeest.Q3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
1 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±7.3%
avg realized
±5.0%
Feb 26 '24±7.8%▼−2.89%×0.37
May 2 '24±6.1%▼−1.37%×0.23
Aug 1 '24±6.4%▼−4.36%×0.68
Oct 31 '24±12.0%▼−9.85%×0.82
Feb 28 '25±9.7%▲+11.66%×1.21
May 1 '25±5.6%▲+2.31%×0.42
Jul 31 '25±5.1%▲+1.97%×0.39
Nov 4 '25±6.0%▲+5.80%×0.97
quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×
Nov '25±6.0%▲+5.80%×0.97
Jul '25±5.1%▲+1.97%×0.39
May '25±5.6%▲+2.31%×0.42
Feb '25±9.7%▲+11.66%×1.21
Oct '24±12.0%▼−9.85%×0.82
Aug '24±6.4%▼−4.36%×0.68
2 older reports
May '24±6.1%▼−1.37%×0.23
Feb '24±7.8%▼−2.89%×0.37
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 3 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

+18.08%change in shares held by the ten largest reporting managers over the quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
49managers whose positions together make up four fifths of reported value13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 4

7 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history
8 of 23largest reporting managers who cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
AI captions · Sep 16 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

AES report session

Suppliers 1

FLNCFluence Energy×0.84
× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 20impliedImplied move: ±1.2% into Nov 3 earnings (Oct 20 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.